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Author Topic: My last "Hope Post"  (Read 1683 times)

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KSUftw

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My last "Hope Post"
« on: February 03, 2011, 10:37:11 AM »

This is it.  I mentioned before that the Neb game is make or break for the NCAA, and with that win I woke up this morning feeling a ton better.  Let me explain (Long post).

Current Standings:

Texas (3)  7-0 19-3   
Kansas (2)  6-1 21-1 
Texas A&M (16)  4-3 17-4   
Oklahoma  4-3 12-9   
Baylor  4-4 14-7   
Colorado  4-4 15-8   
Missouri (14)  3-4 17-5   
Nebraska  3-4 15-6   
Oklahoma St.  3-5 15-7   
Kansas St.  3-5 15-8   
Texas Tech  3-5 11-12   
Iowa St.  1-7 14-9


Final Predicted Standings (note, I ignored stats on ones that are given or not important):

Texas
Kansas
Texas A&M 4-3 (5 more wins to finish 9-7)
Kansas St.  3-5 (5 more wins to finish 8-8) (split with Mizzou, 6-4 north div record)
Missouri  3-4 (5 more wins to finish 8-8) (split with ksu, 5-5 north div record)
Oklahoma St.  3-5 (4 more wins to finish 7-9)
Baylor  4-4 (3 more wins to finish 7-9)
Colorado  4-4 (3 more wins to finish 7-9)
Nebraska  3-4 (3 more wins to finish 6-10)
Oklahoma  4-3 (2 more wins to finish 6-10)
Texas Tech
Iowa St.

Now, I rather lose the tie breaker with Mizzou and be #5.  #5 gets to play ISU which should be a joke and then gets to play #4 anyways.  I would hate to have to play Mizzou for our first game in the tourney were we will need at least 1 to make the big dance.  After they showed our rpi (around 44) and our sos (around 10), 5 more games will give us 20 wins.  We would either be the lowest win column team in for at-large or tied for lowest wins.  Wake forest made it in with 19 last year but they had a brutal schedule and won big games.  Louisville made it in with 20 but who doesn't favor the big east.  With a weak big 12 conference, I think 21 will be REQUIRED, but also an 80% sure in.  Thoughts?
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Felis Silvestris

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Re: My last "Hope Post"
« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2011, 12:05:56 PM »

I think the outcome of this season hinges entirely on the next two games: @ISU, @CO.  These are winnable games but nothing is guaranteed on the road in the Big12.  If we go 2-0, we face KU at home on Feb. 14th with a .500 record in the conference.  Not saying we have a chance against KU but it puts us in good position to finish the season 8-8 with a chance at the tournament.
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Lynch

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Re: My last "Hope Post"
« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2011, 01:34:09 PM »

I would also rather not have a bye in the tournament. At this point we need to play as many games as possible to guarantee a spot in the NCAA. 1 easy win over ISU and a tough "entertaining" win over Mizzou in the Big 12 tournament should lock us up tightly.
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